UK Climate Advisor: Keep block on frac’ing; previous advice from 2021 remained. “As the costs of low-carbon alternatives decrease, demand for oil and gas is expected to decline substantially”.
The advice to ministers on the climate impact of onshore oil and gas is required by law every five years under the 2015 Infrastructure Act.
The latest letter, from the CCC’s chair, Nigel Topping, said of onshore shale gas:
“we have not been able to identify any substantive developments in the evidence base regarding production levels or emissions intensity.
“Therefore, our previous advice remains valid. The restrictions on fracking should not be lifted without an in-depth, independent review of the evidence on climate impacts and other factors, underpinned by new research.”
The CCC letter said onshore gas accounted for 0.6% of total UK gas production and 4% of UK oil production in 2024.
It said emissions from conventional onshore oil and gas were “a small contributor” to UK carbon budgets and the ambition to reach net zero emissions by 2050.
But it said:
“There is scope for emissions reduction through measures such as reduced methane leakage, reduced flaring and venting, and electrification (where not already in use).”
It advised Mr Miliband:
“Your department, working with the relevant regulatory authorities, should ensure appropriate policy to facilitate the reduction of production emissions associated with UK oil and gas fields consistent with carbon budgets and Net Zero.”
The CCC estimated that emissions from onshore fields in England in 2025 were 0.09MtCO2e/year. This was expected to fall to around 0.03MtCO2e/year by 2050, as a result of closure of onshore sites as they matured or became exhausted.
The CCC added that any combustion of oil and gas, regardless of source, would need to remain in line with projected cuts in emissions if carbon budgets and Net Zero were to be met.
The UK’s seventh carbon budget predicted that primary demand for oil and gas in the UK would fall from 1.476TWh to 286TWh in 2050. The letter said:
“This is driven by the increase used of more energy-efficient electric alternatives to fossil fuel technologies, including electrical vehicles (EVs), heat pumps, and industrial electrification.
“As the costs of low-carbon alternatives decrease, demand for oil and gas is expected to decline substantially”.
This website stores cookies on your computer. These cookies are used to provide a more personalized experience and to track your whereabouts around our website in compliance with the European General Data Protection Regulation. If you decide to to opt-out of any future tracking, a cookie will be setup in your browser to remember this choice for one year.