“Damp squib” LNG’s “Irrational exuberance:” Renewable energies produce energy cheaper and faster than natural gas (and don’t permanently remove massive volumes of water from the hydrogeological cycle), will create misery for Trump ‘n Carney’s Golden Goose: The unnatural liquefied gas market. Oil and gas company greed and enabling politicians ramping up LNG is creating a fat bubble (greedy tech idiots have done so too with stupid AI). Renewable energy’s advantages will make the pop worse. Get ready to lose a shitload, the rich will make us pay for their greed and stupidity, as usual. PS Much healthier and safer to stop baby making, than doing LNG and AI.
Thinking to get at once all the gold the goose could give, he killed it and opened it
only to find — nothing.
AESOP
In my view, companies and our politicos – Carney is the worst of the lot so far, pimp LNG to force the price of gas up and up and up, to make the rich richer, while freezing Canadians in the dark because we won’t be able to afford to heat our homes or use electricity. We know this, it already happened in Australia, FFS.
This is a Reuters Breakingviews prediction for 2026.
MELBOURNE, Dec 26 (Reuters Breakingviews) – Solar, wind power and batteries are set to make life a misery for the liquefied natural gas market. Some fossil fuel executives already think the push by incumbents like Exxon Mobil, Shell and Woodside Energy to hike global production by some 50% by 2030, per the International Energy Agency, is creating a bubble. But renewable energy’s advantages will make the pop even worse.
On the surface, the LNG expansion might look rational. Europe’s share of imports of liquid methane has doubled to 30% since Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine, per Capital Economics, and the rise of artificial intelligence has created a boom in power-hungry data centres. Meanwhile, President Donald Trump is trying to force purchases of more U.S. fossil gas into trade agreements with the EU, Vietnam and others. And the industry argues LNG is the transition fuel to wean the world off coal power – especially Asia, which already accounts for 65% of global LNG imports.There is nothing fucking transitional about LNG or frac’d gas, anywhere, used locally or exported/imported. It’s more harmful and polluting than coal, and permanently removes massive volumes of water from the hydrogeological cycle.
TotalEnergies CEO Patrick Pouyanné, though, told the audience at the Gastech conference in Milan in September that the sector is “building too much”. Vivek Chandra, boss of Gulfstream LNG in Louisiana, summed up the otherwise upbeat mood at the confab as “irrational exuberance”.
That’s likely to be an understatement. Gas turbines have roughly tripled, opens new tab in price since 2021 to $2,400 per megawatt-hour, per U.S. utility NextEra Energy. With battery costs falling – by 40% in 2024 alone – all-in renewable generation and storage in 2030 could be up to 56% cheaper than gas, estimates Wood Mackenzie.
It’s already having an impact on the world’s biggest LNG importer, China, which is rapidly expanding its wind, solar and hydroelectric generation. By October, Beijing’s LNG imports had fallen 11 months in a row year-on-year, per data provider Kpler. The People’s Republic is also likely to increase purchases from Russia rather than from the U.S. and Qatar, which are responsible for most of the planned expansion of global supply.
Renewables have another factor in their favour: they’re quicker to install, with major projects taking around a year on average, compared to five years for a gas-fired power plant. And that’s assuming the equipment is readily available. But turbine makers GE Vernova, Siemens Energy and Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, which account for 90% of the market, have warned customers they face having to wait as long as eight years for delivery, to the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis. That effectively nixes any chance of new gas plants replacing coal-fired power stations in Asian countries from Vietnam to the Philippines.
Excess fuel supplies, a hardware backlog and a more competitive alternative bode ill for LNG market incumbents. A crash is looming.
This website stores cookies on your computer. These cookies are used to provide a more personalized experience and to track your whereabouts around our website in compliance with the European General Data Protection Regulation. If you decide to to opt-out of any future tracking, a cookie will be setup in your browser to remember this choice for one year.